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A
BundesligaStarts in 24h

Augsburg @ Union Berlin

Saturday, May 16 at 8:30 AM CT
UB
Sharp Summary
Market Width (Vig): 0.00%
ML Home · Best
+165
Bally Bet
ML Home · Worst
+150
Fanatics
Total O · Best
+130
Bally Bet · 3.5
Biggest Price Gap
$15.00/$100
moneyline:home
Best current prices at: Bally Bet
Avg Vig: 0.00%
Analyzing
01 · Best Odds
Augsburg vs Union Berlin
May 16 · 8:30 AM CT
142Elite
Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.
◎Best: Union Berlin moneyline at Bally Bet +165
BETLINEODDSBOOKBETIQ SCORE
Union Berlin Spread————
100Market
Bet Now →
Augsburg Spread————
100Market
Bet Now →
Over 3.53.5+130BALBally BetBest Price
120Strong
Bet Now →
Under 3.53.5-165MGMBetMGMBest Price
112Market
Bet Now →
Union Berlin ML—+165BALBally BetBest Price
132Elite
Bet Now →
Augsburg ML—+145FANFanaticsBest Price
142Elite
Bet Now →
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Fanatics offers the best price on Augsburg ML (BetIQ 142). Always compare across books — even small differences compound over time.
02 · Market Value
Line Value
Union Berlin · Bally Bet +165
+0.8%
vs Market Avg
Worse PriceMarket AvgBetter Price
Book Implied Prob
37.7%
Market Avg Prob
38.5%
Line Value
+0.8%
Best Available
Bally Bet +165
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Bally Bet prices Union Berlin at 37.7%. Market average is 38.5%. You're getting 0.8% better than market average — best available price.
Payout Analysis
Union Berlin — Payout vs Implied Probability
BEST: BAL +165
Fair Value32%35.3%38.5%41.8%45%$145$151$158$164$170Implied Probability →Payout per $100 ↑HAR+160FD+160FAN+150ESP+160MGM+160DK+155CAS+160BR+160BET+165Bally Bet+165
Above fair value = better payout
Below fair value = worse payout
Near fair value
Best Payout
$165
Best Book
BAL
Book Spread
$15.00
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Bally Bet offers the best payout at $165 per $100 risked (+165). Worst: Fanatics at $150. Spread of $15.00 across books.
03 · Line Movement
Line Movement
Union Berlin · ML
+149+158+167OpenNow
Hard Rock Bet
FanDuel
Fanatics
ESPN BET
BetMGM
DraftKings
Caesars
BetRivers
Bally Bet
betPARX
Open
+160
Current
+160
Move
—
Your CLV
—
Track your bet on this line:

Line Comparison Heatmap

Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only
BookML HomeML AwaySpread HSpread AOverUnder
Hard Rock Bet+160+140————
FanDuel ↗+160+140————
Fanatics ↗+150+145————
ESPN BET+160+140————
BetMGM+160+145——3.5+1203.5-165
DraftKings+155+135————
Caesars ↗+160+145————
BetRivers+160+128——3.5+1283.5-175
Bally Bet+165+133——3.5+1303.5-167
betPARX+165+133——3.5+1303.5-167

Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.

★ Best Bet Breakdown
Strong · Score 120
Union Berlin ML
+165atBally Bet· +2.1% EV
Bet at Bally Bet
Strong · Score 120
Union Berlin ML
+165atbetPARX· +2.1% EV
Bet at betPARX
Strong · Score 118
Augsburg ML
+145atFAN· +2.8% EV
Bet at Fanatics
Arbitrage Alert · Moneyline
Guaranteed profit if bets are sized correctly across both books.
Margin
21.45%
Home
Bally Bet
+165
Lock in →
Away
FAN
+145
Lock in →
Required Books
This opportunity requires accounts at Bally Bet and Fanatics.
Bally BetComing Soon
FanaticsOpen Account →
Learn more about this bet
How odds work
American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.
Line shopping
Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.
Expected value
Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.
BetIQ Score Methodology
Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.

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