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MMAStarts in 4d
Darya Zheleznyakova @ Melissa Croden
Saturday, April 18 at 5:00 PM CT
Sharp Summary
Market Width (Vig): 4.75%
ML Home · Best
-155
DraftKings
ML Home · Worst
-170
BetMGM
Total O · Best
-239
Pinnacle · 2.5
Biggest Price Gap
$5.69/$100
moneyline:home
Best current prices at: DraftKings · Pinnacle
Avg Vig: 4.75%
Analyzing
01 · Best Odds
02 · Market Value
03 · Line Movement
Line Comparison Heatmap
Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only| Book | ML Home | ML Away | Spread H | Spread A | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars ↗ | -160 | +135 | — | — | — | — |
| Pinnacle | -159 | +136 | — | — | 2.5-239 | 2.5+192 |
| BetMGM | -170 | +140 | — | — | — | — |
| BetRivers | -165 | +132 | — | — | — | — |
| Bally Bet | -165 | +132 | — | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | -155 | +130 | — | — | 2.5-245 | 2.5+185 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -165 | +130 | — | — | — | — |
Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.
★ Best Bet Breakdown
Strong · Score 129
Darya Zheleznyakova ML
+140atMGM· +2.8% EV
Strong · Score 126
Melissa Croden ML
-155atDK· +1.9% EV
Strong · Score 115
Over 2.5
-239atPinnacle· +0.4% EV
Exchange & Prediction-Market Odds
Shown separately — not mixed into sportsbook consensusExchanges match one user's buy against another's sell, so their pricing structure (near-zero vig) differs from traditional sportsbooks. We display their odds for reference but do not mix them into BetIQ Score or best-book selection.
| Market | Side | Line | Books & Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| moneyline | away | — | Kalshi +138 |
| moneyline | home | — | Kalshi -150 |
Required Books
This opportunity requires accounts at Pinnacle and BetMGM.
PinnacleComing Soon
BetMGMComing Soon
Learn more about this bet
How odds work
American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.
Line shopping
Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.
Expected value
Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.
BetIQ Score Methodology
Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.