BundesligaStarts in 13d

FSV Mainz 05 @ FC St. Pauli

Sunday, May 3 at 8:30 AM CT

Sharp Summary

Market Width (Vig): 0.00%

ML Home · Best

+190

Fanatics

ML Home · Worst

+180

DraftKings

Total O · Best

+110

BetMGM · 2.5

Biggest Price Gap

$10.00/$100

moneyline:home

Best current prices at: Fanatics · BetMGM

Avg Vig: 0.00%

Analyzing

01 · Best Odds

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli

May 3 · 8:30 AM CT

145Elite

Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.

◎Best: FSV Mainz 05 moneyline at BetMGM +150

BET	LINE	ODDS	BOOK	BETIQ SCORE
FC St. Pauli Spread	—	—	——	100Market	Bet Now →
FSV Mainz 05 Spread	—	—	——	100Market	Bet Now →
Over 2.5	2.5	+110	MGMBetMGMBest Price	100Market	Bet Now →
Under 2.5	2.5	-155	MGMBetMGMBest Price	100Market	Bet Now →
FC St. Pauli ML	—	+190	FANFanaticsBest Price	122Strong	Bet Now →
FSV Mainz 05 ML	—	+150	MGMBetMGMBest Price	145Elite	Bet Now →

⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY

BetMGM offers the best price on FSV Mainz 05 ML (BetIQ 145). Always compare across books — even small differences compound over time.

02 · Market Value

Line Value

FC St. Pauli · Fanatics +190

+0.5%

vs Market Avg

Worse PriceMarket AvgBetter Price

Book Implied Prob

34.5%

Market Avg Prob

35.0%

Line Value

+0.5%

Best Available

Fanatics +190

⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY

Fanatics prices FC St. Pauli at 34.5%. Market average is 35.0%. You're getting 0.5% better than market average — best available price.

Payout Analysis

FC St. Pauli — Payout vs Implied Probability

BEST: FAN +190

Above fair value = better payout

Below fair value = worse payout

Near fair value

Best Payout

$190

Best Book

FAN

Book Spread

$10.00

⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY

Fanatics offers the best payout at $190 per $100 risked (+190). Worst: DraftKings at $180. Spread of $10.00 across books.

03 · Line Movement

Line Movement

FC St. Pauli · ML

Fanatics

Hard Rock Bet

DraftKings

BetMGM

Open

+190

Current

+190

Move

—

Your CLV

—

Track your bet on this line:

Line Comparison Heatmap

Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only

Book	ML Home	ML Away	Spread H	Spread A	Over	Under
Fanatics ↗	+190	+140	—	—	—	—
Hard Rock Bet	+185	+145	—	—	—	—
DraftKings	+180	+135	—	—	—	—
BetMGM	+188	+150	—	—	2.5+110	2.5-155

Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.

★ Best Bet Breakdown

Strong · Score 120

FSV Mainz 05 ML

+150atMGM· +3.1% EV

Bet at BetMGM

Strong · Score 117

FC St. Pauli ML

+190atFAN· +1.5% EV

Bet at Fanatics

Market · Score 109

FC St. Pauli ML

+188atMGM· +0.8% EV

Bet at BetMGM

Arbitrage Alert · Moneyline

Guaranteed profit if bets are sized correctly across both books.

Margin

25.52%

Home

FAN

+190

Lock in →

Away

MGM

+150

Lock in →

Required Books

This opportunity requires accounts at BetMGM and Fanatics.

BetMGMComing Soon

FanaticsOpen Account →

Learn more about this bet

How odds work

American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.

Line shopping

Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.

Expected value

Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.

BetIQ Score Methodology

Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.