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MMAStarts in 4d
J.J. Aldrich @ Jamey-Lyn Horth
Saturday, April 18 at 5:00 PM CT
Sharp Summary
Market Width (Vig): 4.53%
ML Home · Best
-150
Caesars
ML Home · Worst
-180
FanDuel
Total O · Best
-458
Pinnacle · 2.5
Biggest Price Gap
$11.11/$100
moneyline:home
Best current prices at: Caesars · Pinnacle
Avg Vig: 4.53%
Analyzing
01 · Best Odds
02 · Market Value
03 · Line Movement
Line Comparison Heatmap
Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only| Book | ML Home | ML Away | Spread H | Spread A | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -180 | +140 | — | — | — | — |
| Caesars ↗ | -150 | +125 | — | — | — | — |
| Pinnacle | -162 | +138 | — | — | 2.5-458 | 2.5+341 |
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 | — | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | -162 | +136 | — | — | 2.5-475 | 2.5+325 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -170 | +140 | — | — | — | — |
Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.
★ Best Bet Breakdown
Strong · Score 124
Jamey-Lyn Horth ML
-150atCZR· +3.5% EV
Strong · Score 115
Over 2.5
-458atPinnacle· +0.3% EV
Strong · Score 115
Under 2.5
+341atPinnacle· +1.9% EV
Arbitrage Alert · Moneyline
Guaranteed profit if bets are sized correctly across both books.
Margin
0.94%
Exchange & Prediction-Market Odds
Shown separately — not mixed into sportsbook consensusExchanges match one user's buy against another's sell, so their pricing structure (near-zero vig) differs from traditional sportsbooks. We display their odds for reference but do not mix them into BetIQ Score or best-book selection.
| Market | Side | Line | Books & Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| moneyline | away | — | Kalshi +156 |
| moneyline | home | — | Kalshi -156 |
Required Books
This opportunity requires accounts at Pinnacle and FanDuel.
PinnacleComing Soon
FanDuelOpen Account →Learn more about this bet
How odds work
American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.
Line shopping
Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.
Expected value
Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.
BetIQ Score Methodology
Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.