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LR
MMAStarts in 11d

Lucas Rocha @ Jafel Filho

Saturday, April 25 at 4:00 PM CT
JF
Sharp Summary
Market Width (Vig): 4.76%
ML Home · Best
-300
Pinnacle
ML Home · Worst
-330
FanDuel
Biggest Price Gap
$3.03/$100
moneyline:home
Best current prices at: Pinnacle
Avg Vig: 4.76%
Analyzing
01 · Best Odds
Lucas Rocha vs Jafel Filho
Apr 25 · 4:00 PM CT
103Market
Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.
◎Best: Lucas Rocha moneyline at Pinnacle +247
BETLINEODDSBOOKBETIQ SCORE
Jafel Filho Spread————
100Market
Bet Now →
Lucas Rocha Spread————
100Market
Bet Now →
Over————
100Market
Bet Now →
Under————
100Market
Bet Now →
Jafel Filho ML—-300PINPinnacleBest Price
103Market
Bet Now →
Lucas Rocha ML—+247PINPinnacleBest Price
103Market
Bet Now →
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Pinnacle offers the best price on Jafel Filho ML (BetIQ 103). Always compare across books — even small differences compound over time.
02 · Market Value
Line Value
Jafel Filho · Pinnacle -300
+0.7%
vs Market Avg
Worse PriceMarket AvgBetter Price
Book Implied Prob
75.0%
Market Avg Prob
75.7%
Line Value
+0.7%
Best Available
Pinnacle -300
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Pinnacle prices Jafel Filho at 75.0%. Market average is 75.7%. You're getting 0.7% better than market average — best available price.
Payout Analysis
Jafel Filho — Payout vs Implied Probability
BEST: PIN -300
Fair Value70%73%76%79%82%$25$29$32$36$39Implied Probability →Payout per $100 ↑DK-305FD-330Pinnacle-300
Above fair value = better payout
Below fair value = worse payout
Near fair value
Best Payout
$33
Best Book
PIN
Book Spread
$3.03
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Pinnacle offers the best payout at $33 per $100 risked (-300). Worst: FanDuel at $30. Spread of $3.03 across books.
03 · Line Movement
Line Movement
Jafel Filho · ML
-333-315-297OpenNow
DraftKings
FanDuel
Pinnacle
Open
-305
Current
-305
Move
—
Your CLV
—
Track your bet on this line:

Line Comparison Heatmap

Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only
BookML HomeML AwaySpread HSpread AOverUnder
DraftKings-305+245————
FanDuel ↗-330+240————
Pinnacle-300+247————

Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.

★ Best Bet Breakdown
Strong · Score 115
Lucas Rocha ML
+247atPinnacle· +0.9% EV
Bet at Pinnacle
Market · Score 114
Jafel Filho ML
-300atPinnacle· +0.9% EV
Bet at Pinnacle
Market · Score 107
Jafel Filho ML
-305atDK· +0.5% EV
Bet at DraftKings
Required Books
The best price is at Pinnacle. You need an account to get this number.
PinnacleComing Soon
Learn more about this bet
How odds work
American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.
Line shopping
Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.
Expected value
Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.
BetIQ Score Methodology
Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.

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