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MT
NCAAFStarts in 86d

Marshall Thundering Herd @ Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, September 5 at 2:30 PM CT
PSPenn State Nittany Lions
BetIQ earns a commission if you sign up via our links. This doesn't change our analysis.
Market Summary
Market Width (Vig): 4.47%
Spread H · Best
-105
Caesars · -23.5
Biggest Price Gap
$4.33/$100
spread:home
Best current prices at: Caesars
Avg Vig: 4.47%
Analyzing
01 · Best Odds
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Penn State Nittany Lions
Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CT
124Elite
Score measures price quality vs. the market. It does not predict outcomes.
◎Best price: Penn State Nittany Lions spread at Caesars -105
BETLINEODDSBOOKBETIQ SCORE
Penn State Nittany Lions Spread -23.5Best Current Value-23.5-105CASCaesarsBest Price
124Elite
Bet Now →
Marshall Thundering Herd Spread +23.5+23.5-110FDFanDuelBest Price
109Fair+
Bet Now →
Over 53.553.5-105FDFanDuelBest PriceInsufficient Data
Bet Now →
Under 53.553.5-110MGMBetMGMBest PriceInsufficient Data
View at MGM
Penn State Nittany Lions ML—-3000HRHard Rock BetBest PriceInsufficient Data
Marshall Thundering Herd ML—+1280FDFanDuelBest PriceInsufficient Data
Bet Now →
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Caesars offers the best price on Penn State Nittany Lions Spread -23.5 (BetIQ 124). Always compare across books — even small differences compound over time.
02 · Market Value
Line Value
Penn State Nittany Lions · Hard Rock Bet -3000
+0.2%
vs Market Avg
Worse PriceMarket AvgBetter Price
Book Implied Prob
96.8%
Market Avg Prob
97.0%
Line Value
+0.2%
Best Available
Hard Rock Bet -3000
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Hard Rock Bet prices Penn State Nittany Lions at 96.8%. Market average is 97.0%. You're getting 0.2% better than market average — best available price.
Payout Analysis
Penn State Nittany Lions — Payout vs Implied Probability
BEST: HR -3000
Fair Value91%93.3%95.5%97.8%100%$0$2$5$7$9Implied Probability →Payout per $100 ↑FD-3500Hard Rock Bet-3000
Above fair value = better payout
Below fair value = worse payout
Near fair value
Best Payout
$3
Best Book
HR
Book Spread
$0.48
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
Hard Rock Bet offers the best payout at $3 per $100 risked (-3000). Worst: FanDuel at $3. Spread of $0.48 across books.
03 · Line Movement
Line Movement
Penn State Nittany Lions · ML
-3550-3250-2950OpenNow
FanDuel
Hard Rock Bet
Open
-3500
Current
-3500
Move
—
Your CLV
—
Track your bet on this line:

Line Comparison Heatmap

Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only
BookML HomeML AwaySpread HSpread AOverUnder
DraftKings——-23.5-108+23.5-112——
Caesars ↗——-23.5-105+23.5-115——
FanDuel ↗-3500+1280-23.5-110+23.5-11053.5-10553.5-115
Hard Rock Bet-3000+1200-23.5-110+23.5-110——
BetMGM——-23.5-110+23.5-11053.5-11053.5-110

Score measures price quality vs. the market. It does not predict outcomes.

Best Price Breakdown
Elite · Score 128
Penn State Nittany Lions -23.5
-105atCZR· +1.6% EV
Bet at Caesars
Sharp · Score 115
Marshall Thundering Herd ML
+1280atFD· +3.1% EV
Bet at FanDuel
Sharp · Score 115
Penn State Nittany Lions ML
-3000atHard Rock Bet· +0.2% EV
Bet at Hard Rock Bet
Required Books
This opportunity requires accounts at FanDuel and Caesars.
FanDuelOpen Account →CaesarsOpen Account →
Learn more about this bet
How odds work
American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.
Line shopping
Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.
Expected value
Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.
BetIQ Score Methodology
Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.

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