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MMAStarts in 4d
Mitch Raposo @ Allan Nascimento
Saturday, April 18 at 5:00 PM CT
Sharp Summary
Market Width (Vig): 4.69%
ML Home · Best
-190
Pinnacle
ML Home · Worst
-220
FanDuel
Total O · Best
-167
Pinnacle · 2.5
Biggest Price Gap
$7.18/$100
moneyline:home
Best current prices at: Pinnacle
Avg Vig: 4.69%
Analyzing
01 · Best Odds
02 · Market Value
03 · Line Movement
Line Comparison Heatmap
Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only| Book | ML Home | ML Away | Spread H | Spread A | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -220 | +168 | — | — | — | — |
| Caesars ↗ | -195 | +165 | — | — | — | — |
| Pinnacle | -190 | +161 | — | — | 2.5-167 | 2.5+137 |
| BetRivers | -205 | +163 | — | — | — | — |
| Bally Bet | -205 | +163 | — | — | — | — |
| BetMGM | -190 | +155 | — | — | — | — |
| DraftKings | -192 | +160 | — | — | 2.5-175 | 2.5+135 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -200 | +165 | — | — | — | — |
Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.
★ Best Bet Breakdown
Strong · Score 122
Mitch Raposo ML
+168atFD· +2.1% EV
Strong · Score 116
Allan Nascimento ML
-190atPinnacle· +1.6% EV
Strong · Score 116
Allan Nascimento ML
-190atMGM· +1.6% EV
Exchange & Prediction-Market Odds
Shown separately — not mixed into sportsbook consensusExchanges match one user's buy against another's sell, so their pricing structure (near-zero vig) differs from traditional sportsbooks. We display their odds for reference but do not mix them into BetIQ Score or best-book selection.
| Market | Side | Line | Books & Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| moneyline | home | — | Kalshi -194 |
| moneyline | away | — | Kalshi +178 |
Required Books
This opportunity requires accounts at Pinnacle and FanDuel.
PinnacleComing Soon
FanDuelOpen Account →Learn more about this bet
How odds work
American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.
Line shopping
Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.
Expected value
Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.
BetIQ Score Methodology
Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.