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TMToronto Maple Leafs
NHLStarts in 1d

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators

Wednesday, April 15 at 6:40 PM CT
OSOttawa Senators
Sharp Summary
Market Width (Vig): 4.57%
ML Home · Best
-230
DraftKings
ML Home · Worst
-240
Fanatics
Spread H · Best
+110
DraftKings · -1.5
Total O · Best
+100
DraftKings · 6.5
Biggest Price Gap
$20.00/$100
total:over
Best current prices at: DraftKings
Avg Vig: 4.57%
Analyzing
01 · Best Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators
Apr 15 · 6:40 PM CT
127Strong
Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.
◎Best: Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline at Caesars +192
BETLINEODDSBOOKBETIQ SCORE
Ottawa Senators Spread -1.5-1.5+110DKDraftKingsBest Price
102Market
Bet Now →
Toronto Maple Leafs Spread +1.5Best Current Value+1.5-125MGMBetMGMBest Price
104Market
Bet Now →
Over 6.56.5+100DKDraftKingsBest Price
108Market
Bet Now →
Under 6Best Current Value6+105MGMBetMGMBest Price
127Strong
Bet Now →
Ottawa Senators ML—-230DKDraftKingsBest Price
102Market
Bet Now →
Toronto Maple Leafs MLBest Current Value—+192CASCaesarsBest Price
102Market
Bet Now →
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
BetMGM offers the best price on Under 6 (BetIQ 127). Always compare across books — even small differences compound over time.
02 · Market Value
Line Value
Ottawa Senators · DraftKings -230
+0.4%
vs Market Avg
Worse PriceMarket AvgBetter Price
Book Implied Prob
69.7%
Market Avg Prob
70.1%
Line Value
+0.4%
Best Available
DraftKings -230
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
DraftKings prices Ottawa Senators at 69.7%. Market average is 70.1%. You're getting 0.4% better than market average — best available price.
Payout Analysis
Ottawa Senators — Payout vs Implied Probability
BEST: DK -230
Fair Value64%67%70%73%76%$36$39$43$46$49Implied Probability →Payout per $100 ↑FAN-240MGM-235CAS-235DraftKings-230
Above fair value = better payout
Below fair value = worse payout
Near fair value
Best Payout
$43
Best Book
DK
Book Spread
$1.81
⬡ KEY TAKEAWAY
DraftKings offers the best payout at $43 per $100 risked (-230). Worst: Fanatics at $42. Spread of $1.81 across books.
03 · Line Movement
Line Movement
Ottawa Senators · ML
-241-235-229OpenNow
DraftKings
Fanatics
BetMGM
Caesars
Open
-230
Current
-230
Move
—
Your CLV
—
Track your bet on this line:

Line Comparison Heatmap

Green = best price · Red = worst · Sportsbooks only
BookML HomeML AwaySpread HSpread AOverUnder
DraftKings-230+190-1.5+110+1.5-1306.5+1006.5-120
Fanatics ↗-240+190-1.5+110+1.5-1306.5+1006.5-120
BetMGM-235+190-1.5+105+1.5-125——
Caesars ↗-235+192-1.5+110+1.5-1306.5+1006.5-120

Score measures price quality vs. the market — not the outcome.

★ Best Bet Breakdown
Strong · Score 126
Toronto Maple Leafs ML
+192atCZR· +0.5% EV
Bet at Caesars
Strong · Score 126
Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5
-125atMGM· +1.3% EV
Bet at BetMGM
Strong · Score 121
Ottawa Senators ML
-230atDK· +0.6% EV
Bet at DraftKings

Exchange & Prediction-Market Odds

Shown separately — not mixed into sportsbook consensus

Exchanges match one user's buy against another's sell, so their pricing structure (near-zero vig) differs from traditional sportsbooks. We display their odds for reference but do not mix them into BetIQ Score or best-book selection.

MarketSideLineBooks & Odds
moneylinehome—Kalshi -223
moneylineaway—Kalshi +212
spreadhome-1.5Kalshi +113
spreadaway1.5Kalshi -122
totalover6.5Kalshi +104
totalunder6.5Kalshi -113
Required Books
This opportunity requires accounts at DraftKings and BetMGM.
DraftKingsComing Soon
BetMGMComing Soon
Learn more about this bet
How odds work
American vs decimal vs fractional — and what the numbers actually mean.
Line shopping
Why the same bet can return ~20% more profit at a different book.
Expected value
Dollar-amount math for figuring out which bets are actually +EV.
BetIQ Score Methodology
Plain-English walk-through of how every score is calculated.

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For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ and in a legal state to bet.

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